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The Fantasy Formula: Separating Luck from Strategy in FPL Erik Ibsen's path to victory in last season's Fantasy Premier League (FPL) reads like a guide to avoiding pitfalls rather than achieving success.

His mantra is consistency, but this time it's not about maintaining a strong team through weeks 1 38. Rather, he rode out bad starts and waited for the inevitable shift in fortune that comes with 38 gameweeks.

This approach can be seen as a way of mitigating risk, rather than actively managing it. By spreading out his budget across dependable players, Ibsen created an "insurance policy" against catastrophic losses.

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